Report

Debt Relief for Resilience

Ending the debt crisis in low-income countries

By 2025, African countries are projected to spend USD 89 billion on debt servicing, crowding out critical development spending. This report diagnoses debt vulnerabilities faced by low-income countries and introduces the Debt for Resilience (D4R) initiative, a coordinated framework to reduce official debt burdens, safeguard external debt sustainability, and unlock space for long-term investments in climate resilience and development.

April 17, 2025

In March 2025, eight former African heads of state called for urgent debt relief for vulnerable nations. This comes as over half of low-income countries are either in debt distress or at high risk. Current proposals focus mainly on providing liquidity relief, which, in light of the systemic risk current debt vulnerabilities cause, is insufficient to put countries back on a sustainable debt and development trajectory.

This research shows that many debt-vulnerable countries are not merely facing a sovereign debt problem. In the mid-1990s—on the eve of the adoption of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries initiative, one of the largest debt relief initiatives in history—most participating low-income countries owed less than 10% of their external debt to private creditors, whether directly by the state (public and publicly guaranteed debt) or by their private sector (non-guaranteed private debt). Today, the share is much larger.

Non-guaranteed private debt, in particular, has short maturities and higher interest rates than public and publicly guaranteed debt, which creates acute balance of payment pressures in a context that is already characterized by high global interest rates, and capital outflows from developing countries. This is pushing economies into a dangerous cycle where vital public investments are neglected.

The D4R initiative offers a new approach, addressing this structural issue directly, through

  • substantial official debt reduction
  • preventing leakages to private creditors, through built-in measures to ensure that debt relief benefits governments directly
  • growth-focused policies over austerity through national development plans, ensuring countries can invest in critical sectors like climate resilience and social development

Report details

Topic
Sustainable Finance
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2025
Report

Climate Risk Profile: Belize

This report provides an overview of observed and projected climatic changes in Belize and their impacts on communities and ecosystems. It includes recommended nature-based solutions (NbS) for adaptation actions, as well as measures to ensure they are gender-responsive and socially inclusive. The profile is based on a comprehensive climate risk assessment conducted in and around the Maya Forest Corridor, Glover's Reef Marine Reserve, and South Water Caye Marine Reserve.

April 11, 2025

Key Messages

  • Belize faces several climate hazards, including sea level rise and hurricanes, which pose serious threats to its environmental integrity and socio-economic development. Impacts on ecosystems and communities are expected to worsen in the future as the intensity and frequency of hazards increase.

  • Climate change has significantly impacted livelihoods in Belize. It has driven biodiversity loss, leading to a decline in the availability of marine and agricultural products. This has heightened concerns about food insecurity and affected traditions and cultural practices.

  • Belize is exemplifying its commitment to climate adaptation through different plans and strategies, including the National Climate Change Policy, Strategy and Master Plan (2021), National Climate Finance Strategy of Belize (2021–2026), and the formulation of national adaptation plans.

  • As Belize continues to face the impacts of climate change, implementing effective adaptation strategies, including NbS for adaptation, is essential. These initiatives should make a deliberate effort to adopt a gender-responsive and socially inclusive approach to their implementation.

Belize is at high risk of experiencing the negative impacts of climate change. Its flat, low-lying terrain, extensive coastline, and over 1,060 small islands exacerbate its vulnerability to a range of climate hazards, including sea level rise and hurricanes. These hazards pose significant threats to Belize's population, environmental integrity, and socio-economic development. As communities and ecosystems continue to face the impacts of climate change, implementing effective climate adaptation strategies is critical to build resilience.

This climate risk profile has been developed as part of the Climate Adaptation and Protected Areas Initiative to illustrate the impacts of climate change in Belize, specifically within and around the Maya Forest Corridor, Glover's Reef Marine Reserve, and South Water Caye Marine Reserve. It is based on a comprehensive climate risk assessment that was undertaken in Belize and relies on information collected from desk-based or secondary research and participatory engagement processes with communities. The outcomes and data collected through the climate risk assessment helped to underpin the choices of NbS for adaptation and inform the recommended measures for gender-responsive and socially inclusive adaptation.

Participating experts

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Report

Unpacking Methods for Integrated Assessments of Nature-Based Solutions

Guideline for the European Investment Bank and public authorities

This guideline is a comprehensive resource for developing integrated cost-benefit analyses (CBAs) for nature-based solutions (NbS). It provides detailed instructions at every stage of the assessment process, from identifying the benefits of NbS to exploring potential financing options and communicating findings.

March 31, 2025

Key Messages

  • Why conduct a CBA for NbS? To understand the economic, social, and environmental value of NbS and make informed infrastructure decisions.

  • Learn how to assess NbS for municipal projects, with step-by-step instructions for planners, policy-makers, and financing institutions.

  • From wetlands to urban parks, see real-world examples of successful NbS assessments in this guideline.

  • Financing NbS projects can be complex. This guide explores public, private, and innovative financial instruments to support long-term sustainability.

NbS are an innovative approach to addressing societal challenges by leveraging natural processes and ecosystems. They encompass interventions that protect, restore, and sustainably manage ecosystems to deliver multiple benefits. NbS offer a holistic alternative to traditional—often grey—infrastructure by blending infrastructure needs with ecological sustainability. This guideline emphasizes the critical role of NbS in addressing environmental challenges by harnessing the inherent functions of ecosystems to provide multiple societal benefits, such as flood control, water purification, and climate regulation.

Integrating NbS into project development requires a structured approach, starting with identifying societal challenges and evaluating if NbS can address them sustainably and cost-effectively. The guideline explains how to conduct a CBA for NbS through a five-step process:

  1. identifying costs and benefits,
  2. analyzing the climate context,
  3. quantifying and monetizing costs and benefits,
  4. identifying financing structures, and
  5. communicating findings.

The guideline provides insights into systems thinking and system mapping for understanding the context of NbS. It also details how to collect and analyze climate data to inform NbS planning and implementation. Furthermore, it explores various methods for quantifying and monetizing the diverse benefits of NbS, including the use of tools like Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST). The guideline also discusses different financing structures for NbS projects, including public and private investments, grants and subsidies, and innovative financial instruments like carbon credits and resilience bonds. Finally, it highlights the importance of effectively communicating the value of NbS to various stakeholders through clear key indicators and tailored messaging.

The case studies throughout the guideline serve as real-world examples of NbS implementation and assessment, illustrating the practical application of the discussed methodologies. They showcase diverse NbS types in locations like the Netherlands (coastal protection), Burkina Faso (land restoration), and Colombia (urban green spaces). These examples highlight how to identify, analyze, quantify, finance, and communicate the value of NbS.

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Report

A Legally Sound Oil and Gas Phase-Out

How to design policies to mitigate investor–state arbitration risks

At the 28th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 28), governments agreed to transition away from fossil fuels in a just, orderly, and equitable manner. Some governments are implementing this decision with plans to phase out oil and gas production. One of the barriers to phase-out policies is the threat of investor–state arbitration. This report provides policy-makers with tools to mitigate the legal risks of investor–state arbitration when designing oil and gas phase-out policies.

April 9, 2025

Recommendations

  • Based on our analysis of the decisions of arbitral tribunals, this report proposes five principles for policy-makers to follow: 1) no new licences, 2) manage expectations, 3) build broad authority, 4) use existing powers, and 5) be consistent.

In the global stocktake at COP 28, governments agreed to transition away from fossil fuels in a just, orderly, and equitable manner. Several governments are taking action with plans to phase out oil and gas production. A managed phase-out is vital to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement and smooth the transition for oil- and gas-producing economies.

One barrier is the threat of investors suing governments through investor–state arbitration. Some governments have stated that this threat has led them to adopt less ambitious fossil fuel phase-out policies.

As more governments commit to phasing out oil and gas exploration and production, mitigation of the risks of investor–state arbitration becomes a key priority. These risks differ over time and depend on the targeted stage of the production cycle. The sooner governments act, the higher the chances of achieving 1.5°C and, crucially, the lower their legal risks. Conversely, governments that postpone phase-out measures make it harder to align fossil fuel production with the Paris goals and expose themselves to additional legal risks.

This report supports governments committed to the phase-out, particularly in developed countries. It provides policy-makers with tools to mitigate the legal risks of investor–state arbitration when designing and implementing policies to phase out oil and gas production.

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Report

Traditional Ecological Knowledge for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction in Fiji

As part of the Climate Adaptation and Protected Areas (CAPA) Initiative, this report examines the relationship between traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) and the adaptive capacity of vulnerable communities in Fiji, as well as how TEK assists in climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction (DRR).

April 9, 2025

Key Messages

  • Traditional governance within the iTaukei community plays a critical role in Fiji, as the roles and positions of chiefs are still an essential part of cultural identity and governance within villages, and they will continue to play an important role in the response to a changing climate.

  • TEK could function as a cost-effective and ecologically friendly alternative to more conventional investments in grey infrastructure for climate change adaptation, such as seawalls and dams.

  • TEK plays a significant role in DRR by offering time-tested strategies for managing and mitigating the impacts of natural disasters, including through storm and flood prediction, food preservation, early warning, as well as wildfire and landslide risks prevention and reduction.

TEK exists in all parts of the world in some way, shape or form, either in written format or passed orally through stories or teachings. It is a fundamental part of the iTaukei people—the Indigenous People of Fiji—and their culture and traditions.

With limited resources and technology access, Fiji faces multiple challenges when it comes to its ability to adapt to climate change. TEK presents an opportunity and could play a significant role in adaptation and DRR strategies by leveraging its accumulated knowledge, unique insight, and sustainable practices.

As part of the CAPA Initiative, this report examines the relationship between TEK and the adaptive capacity of vulnerable communities in Fiji, as well as how TEK assists in climate change adaptation and DRR. It is based on the ongoing work of the Fiji Government and hopes to contribute toward its efforts to preserve iTaukei customs and traditions, with a focus on highlighting how TEK can act as a useful indicator of natural disasters for DRR and climate change adaptation in a warming world.

Participating experts

Report details

Topic
Climate Change Adaptation
Nature-Based Solutions
Project
Climate Adaptation and Protected Areas Initiative
Impact area
Climate
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, WCS, WWF, 2025
Report

International Trade and Investment Agreements and Sustainable Critical Minerals Supply

Trade and investment agreements can play a crucial role in defining the relationship between predominantly mineral-exporting and mineral-importing countries—getting them right is essential to creating resilient and responsible supply chains.

April 7, 2025

Key Messages

  • Critical minerals are becoming important to trade and investment policies for exporting and importing countries. This will likely continue as more nations work toward decarbonizing their economies and diversifying supply chains, and attention to the geopolitics of critical minerals grows.

  • New free trade agreements, international investment agreements, and Memoranda of Understanding (MOUs) are starting to incorporate environmental, social, and governance (ESG) provisions, signaling a shift from old-generation treaties.

  • Exporting or producing countries can leverage critical minerals in negotiations to secure concessions and align policies with goals. Reforming investment treaties and embedding ESG standards are key for sustainable resource governance and economic growth.

  • Effective MOU implementation can help balance investor protections with sustainable and equitable access to critical minerals. While MOUs appear to be a step in the right direction of balancing importer and exporter interests, they need practical implementation plans.

This report seeks to assess the current state of play by examining the body of trade and investment agreements and asking: To what extent do current and emerging trade and investment agreements reflect a changing balance between the interests of exporting and consuming countries in the supply chains of critical minerals, including economic development and environmental and social objectives? And what are short-term priorities for improving practice?

Our analysis is based on a review of more than 100 trade and investment agreements and MOUs, including a focus on the agreements signed by governments of three case study states: Indonesia, Chile, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. To complement this review, we conducted interviews with experts, policy-makers, and industry officials. The analysis examined the extent to which these agreements align with three key objectives:

  1. supporting the economic development of mineral-rich countries,
  2. securing a stable supply of raw materials for importing nations, and
  3. enhancing the environmental and social outcomes of mining activities.

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Report

Developing and Piloting a Model for Estimating the Direct and Indirect Benefits of Nature-Based Solutions for Road Resilience in Indonesia

Methodology report and results of the application of the model to two pilot locations in Indonesia

Indonesia's complex geographical, climatic, and socio-economic context presents challenges for road infrastructure resilience. Traditional engineering approaches often struggle to address the range of natural hazards—landslides, erosion, and flooding—that threaten road infrastructure, especially when roads are built at the expense of natural land. Integrating nature back into the design and planning of road development offers a solution.

March 28, 2025

Key Messages

  • Nature provides significant value in enhancing road resilience by reducing direct costs associated with road damage and mitigating disruptions to road services.

  • By comparing the financial and economic benefits of NbS for road resilience, the analysis underscores the significance of recognizing the indirect and induced social, economic, and environmental benefits stemming from investments in road resilience.

This report discusses the development of integrated cost-benefit analysis to estimate the direct and indirect benefits of nature-based solutions (NbS) for road resilience in Indonesia. It presents a model developed to assess the contribution of nature in improving road resilience, and the results of two model applications in Indonesia. It describes the method used for quantifying the impacts of road disruption, particularly flooding, in both physical and economic terms, along with a mathematical model for conducting a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis of resilience investments. The model considers the impact of floods and landslides on road-related services, using climate forecasts and a spatially explicit assessment of relevant ecosystem services provided by nature in the proximity of roads.

The model was tested for two locations, but it can be applied to a variety of other road segments (existing or planned) in the future.

The report should be read in conjunction with the use of the Excel-based models applied to two pilot locations in Indonesia. It has been used for training of technical staff in the Ministry of National Development Planning (BAPPENAS).

Report

Evolving Standards on Stabilization

A practical guide to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's Guiding Principles on Durable Extractive Contracts, Principles VII and VIII

International standards on stabilization clauses are evolving. The latest Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Guiding Principles encourage narrower use of these clauses and highlight alternatives, particularly between fiscal and non-fiscal issues. This report offers practical guidance for governments and companies to transition from outdated practices, helping them draft clauses in line with standards for more balanced and predictable mining contracts.

March 24, 2025

Key Messages

  • Stabilization clauses are evolving: The use of stabilization clauses should not be a given in mining contracts. The latest OECD standards point to reduced and narrower uses, moving away from presumptive stabilization toward more responsive frameworks.

  • This report supports the transition from the presumptive use of stabilization to a structured approach toward changes in fiscal and non-fiscal stabilization clauses, providing clear guidance on how to translate these normative principles into legal text.

The latest OECD Guiding Principles on Durable Extractive Contracts, developed through years of consultations, represent the most inclusive and comprehensive consensus on stabilization clauses in a decade. These principles call for a more limited use of stabilization clauses and emphasize alternatives, particularly distinguishing between fiscal and non-fiscal issues.

This practice note explores the historical context behind stabilization clauses and the growing controversy surrounding their use. It then delves into the evolution of international standards on the subject, culminating in the 2020 OECD principles. Offering practical guidance, the note helps governments and companies navigate the complexities of stabilization clauses and align their contracts with these new standards, paving the way for a more balanced, predictable, and adaptive approach to mining agreements.

Report details

Topic
Investment Law & Policy
Mining
Taxation
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2025
Report

Mining Policy Framework Assessment: Bhutan

Identifying policy strengths, gaps, and recommendations to enhance mining governance in the country.

March 18, 2025

Recommendations

  • The key mining laws and policies in Bhutan need revision and updates to elevate its standards to international good practices and reflect its current priorities for the mining sector.

  • Bhutan should consider revising key laws and regulations to support post-mining transitions, require community consultations, and deepen local content policies.

The Government of Bhutan has identified the mining sector as one of the five jewels of the economy, highlighting its potential to significantly drive the country’s economic development. As a member of the Intergovernmental Forum on Mining, Minerals, Metals and Sustainable Development (IGF), the government requested an assessment and this resulting report to identify key gaps and recommendations to strengthen mining governance in the country.

This report presents an assessment of Bhutan’s readiness and capacity to implement the IGF's Mining Policy Framework (MPF). The IGF Secretariat, hosted by IISD, conducted the assessment which involved an extensive desk-based review of key domestic and international laws and policies and a week-long field visit to Bhutan. During this field visit, the project team met with a broad array of stakeholders from government, civil society, academia, international organizations, and the private sector to discuss Bhutan’s mining laws and policies.

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Report

Climate Risk Profile: Fiji

There have been some clear changes in the climate of Fiji over recent years. This climate risk profile provides an overview of the Fiji's climate context, observed and projected climate change impacts, and a set of recommended NbS for adaptation actions and measures to promote gender-responsive and socially inclusive climate adaptation.

March 18, 2025

Key Messages

  • There have been some clear changes in the climate of Fiji over recent years, most notably temperature increases and an increase in the severity of storms; the climate is still expected to change in line with global projections.

  • The Government of Fiji has exemplified its commitment to climate adaptation through different policies and programs including launching its first NAP in 2018, passing the National Climate Change Act in 2021, and developing the Fiji National Climate Finance Strategy in 2022.

  • In Fiji, structural gender inequality is a driver of women's high degree of vulnerability to the impacts of climate change. Vulnerability within communities is not equally shared, with women and girls experiencing higher levels of vulnerability in terms of their livelihoods and well-being.

  • As Fiji continues to face the impacts of climate change, implementing effective adaptation strategies, including NbS for adaptation is essential. These initiatives should make a deliberate effort to adopt a gender-responsive and socially inclusive approach to their and implementation.

In Fiji, the number of cool nights has decreased, and the number of warm days has increased since 1942. There have been some clear changes in the climate of Fiji over recent years, most notably temperature increases and an increase in the severity of storms. More severe extreme weather events have also been observed in Fiji for decades, including more severe cyclones, droughts, and periods of excessive rainfall.

This climate risk profile has been developed as part of the Climate Adaptation and Protected Areas Initiative to illustrate the impacts of climate change, specifically within and around select protected areas in Fiji. The data in this report were derived from the climate risk assessments conducted in Fiji and rely on information collected from participatory engagement processes with communities, complemented by desk-based or secondary research.

This climate risk profile provides an overview of Fiji’s climate context, observed and projected climate change impacts, and a set of recommended nature-based solutions for adaptation actions and measures to promote gender-responsive and socially inclusive climate adaptation.

Report details

Topic
Nature-Based Solutions
Gender Equality
Climate Change Adaptation
Region
Fiji
Impact area
Climate
Initiatives
Climate Adaptation and Protected Areas (CAPA) Initiative
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, WCS and WWF, 2025