Report

The Landscape of Financing Strategies for Adaptation in Developing Countries

As developing countries increasingly transition from planning to implementation of their National Adaptation Plan (NAP) processes and nationally determined contributions (NDCs), a growing number have prepared or plan to prepare financing strategies for adaptation. These strategies typically set out a nationally coordinated approach to identifying and securing financing for initiatives that advance the country's adaptation priorities. While interest in the preparation of financing strategies for adaptation is growing, there remains uncertainty regarding how these strategies are being developed, the degree of engagement by key actors in their creation (such as multilateral development banks), and their impact on scaling up financing for adaptation. The report provides insights on these issues.

August 3, 2022
  • The number of financing strategies for adaptation has grown in recent years, and many developing countries are accessing support for their preparation through the Green Climate Fund (GCF). At least 40 countries included the development of an adaptation financing strategy as an expected outcome in their GCF National Adaptation Plan support proposals.

  • The research identified 10 discrete financing strategies for adaptation and 14 general financing strategies for climate action that included an adaptation component which were publicly available as of May 2022.

  • A key benefit of a well-defined financing strategy for adaptation is the clear communication of adaptation priorities that are driven by the needs of developing countries as identified in their National Adaptation Plans and Nationally Determined Contributions

Drawing upon a review of 24 adaptation-focused and broader climate change financing strategies, the report identifies emerging lessons for developing countries and for organizations that provide support to governments with the preparation of these strategies. Countries are taking different approaches to the development and content of their financing strategies for adaptation, depending upon the status of their adaptation planning process and the availability of data and analysis to inform their preparation. Despite these differences, some shared lessons that emerged from the review are:

  • Most strategies identify gaps in financing and potential sources of financing, but greater emphasis could be placed on the strategic use of public finance for adaptation, such as domestic finance and international grant and concessional finance, to leverage further investment.
  • Strategies could place greater emphasis on needed improvements in the enabling environment to encourage increased private sector investment, as well as on analysis to identify the types of adaptation projects that generate revenue streams that could attract private sector investment.
  • It is not clear that a strategy that includes detailed costing of adaptation actions is more effective than a high-level strategy that builds awareness and high-level political buy-in.
  • Ministries that lead on adaptation need to be engaged in processes to develop financing strategies for NDCs, the Sustainable Development Goals, national development plans, and COVID-19 pandemic recovery. This would help to ensure that NAP priorities are addressed and aligned with national priorities.
  • Ministries of finance and planning, which often have stronger connections with financial actors and development partners, should be engaged in the preparation of financing strategies for adaptation.
  • Improved tracking of climate finance at the country level is needed to understand if financing strategies and other adaptation policies are successful in mobilizing investment for adaptation priorities.
  • These strategies can help governments take a coordinated and strategic approach to the financing of adaptation that considers the best use of public and grant finance, as well as alignment with related sustainable development goals.

Overall, the report finds that a well-defined financing strategy for adaptation can be critical tool in ensuring that adaptation financing priorities are driven by the climate needs of developing countries and in helping governments to take a coordinated and strategic approach to the financing of adaptation that considers the best use of international and domestic public and private finance.

Participating experts

Report

Investor Perspectives on Accelerating Growth in the Indian EV Ecosystem

The report takes stock of India’s current EVs ecosystem and where the sector may be heading in the future, with a focus on drivers of and barriers to investment. The research for this study involved in-depth consultations with experts, policymakers, investors, and companies, as well as results from an online survey with EV experts and companies. The report presents the main takeaways of this research.

August 2, 2022
  • India is successfully incentivizing consumer demand for electrified two-wheel and three-wheel vehicles.

  • India has major potential for battery manufacturing and has initiated policy schemes to incentivize battery manufacturing in the country.

  • India will need to meet challenges other countries have to deal with as well, including supply chain vulnerabilities and guaranteeing enough recharging infrastructure.

The main takeaways from this report can be summarized as follows:

  • India is successfully incentivizing consumer demand for electrified two-wheel and three-wheel vehicles and is beginning to scale up demand for electrified four-wheel vehicles and buses, too.
  • India remains a minor player in battery manufacturing, which is still dominated by China, but it has initiated policy schemes to incentivize battery manufacturing in the country. Consulted investors and companies see major growth potential for India in this realm, which they believe will help it to expand domestic battery production and EV adoption dramatically.
  • For India to achieve the scale of EV growth it desires, however, it will need to address financing challenges for consumers and the country’s insufficient charging infrastructure. Although the government has formulated policy solutions on both fronts, investors and companies consulted for this report identified space for improvement and expansion. Other potential obstacles to this growth include supply chain shortages, lack of complementarity between state and federal policies, and skill gaps in the labor force. 
  • The country could also embrace battery swapping, which experts believe can help to expand EV demand and adoption and which the Indian government has already begun to support through policy initiatives.

Participating experts

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Report

Boom and Bust: The fiscal implications of fossil fuel phase-out in six large emerging economies

This report examines the possible financial implications of phasing out fossil fuels in six emerging economies based on scenarios published by the International Energy Agency in its 2021 World Energy Outlook and suggests strategies for managing the transition.

July 7, 2022
  • The era of fossil fuel revenues is ending: six fossil fuel-dependent economies must adjust their tax policies to avoid a USD 500 billion revenue gap by 2050.

  • Emerging economy governments depend on fossil fuel revenues, ranging from 5% of total revenues in China to over 33% in Russia: governments need fiscal strategies to ensure fossil revenue dependence doesn’t slow their clean energy transition.

  • The world must phase out fossil fuels, which will inevitably erode related revenues. Countries need fiscal strategies to avoid revenue gaps that could reverse progress on poverty eradication and economic development.

To comply with the Paris Agreement, the world will have to phase down fossil fuels, which will erode related revenues. This report examines the possible financial consequences of the clean energy transition in Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China, and South Africa (BRIICS countries). The study assesses current dependency on fossil fuel revenues and uses IEA scenarios of energy demand, supply, and prices from 2030 to 2050 to project future revenues.

As the global clean energy transition gathers pace, the report shows that BRIICS economies risk a USD 278 billion gap in revenues by 2030 that could reverse progress on poverty eradication and economic development. By 2050, overall fossil fuel revenues in BRIICS countries could be as much as USD 570 billion lower than a business-as-usual scenario, which would see governments failing to phase down fossil fuels enough to avoid the worst climate impacts.

The report aims to support BRIICS and other governments in planning for a managed transition to net-zero and to reduce the risk of revenue crises.
 

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Topic
Energy
Sustainable Finance
Just Transition
Project
IISD Global Subsidies Initiative
Impact area
Climate
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2022
Report

Turning Pledges Into Action

How Glasgow Statement signatories can meet their commitment to shift international public finance out of fossil fuels and into clean energy by the end of 2022

Glasgow Statement signatories made a commitment to end new international public finance for fossil fuels by the end of 2022 and fully shift their focus toward financing clean energy. Now, it's time to turn those pledges into action. This report analyzes the opportunities and challenges of implementation.

June 29, 2022
  • Report by @IISD_news @PriceofOil @Tearfund finds countries need to get on track to meet @COP26 #StopFundingFossils commitment. With 6 months left, we need robust fossil-fuel exclusion policies and scaled up clean energy support.

  • Commitments to #StopFundingFossils CAN be implemented as a handful of countries have shown with robust fossil fuel exclusion policies. Dive into our report to see how countries can build an energy secure, sustainable & safe future by shifting finance to clean energy!

  • Glasgow Statement signatories could shift $28 billion/yr in intl' public finance out of fossils & into a just energy transition—but only a few have published updated policies that turn these pledges into reality. We need urgent action in the next 6 months!

At the 26th Conference of the Parties (COP 26) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, 39 governments and public finance institutions joined the Statement on International Public Support for the Clean Energy Transition, a joint commitment to end international public finance for fossil fuels and instead prioritize public finance for clean energy.

The war in Ukraine and the compounding debt, climate, and energy price crises mean that now more than ever, public finance needs to be prioritized for the energy efficiency and clean energy solutions that can accelerate the transition toward a more secure, sustainable, and peaceful future away from fossil fuel dependence.

This report highlights key opportunities and challenges for signatories to the Glasgow Statement to meet their commitments to end international public finance for fossil fuels by the end of 2022 and instead prioritize public finance for clean energy. It identifies good practices for policies that exclude international public finance for fossil fuels, assesses the current status of implementation of the Glasgow Statement, and gauges the efforts required to implement the statement in line with the 1.5°C global warming limit. The report contains detailed case studies on Ethiopia and Sri Lanka, examining how the Glasgow Statement can play an important role in accelerating a clean and just energy transition in low- and middle-income countries.

This report explores the unprecedented potential and the challenges of implementing the statement. It finds that:

  • The Glasgow Statement could directly shift USD 28 billion in international public finance for fossil fuels toward a clean and just energy transition each year.
  • Most countries and institutions have yet to publicize Glasgow-aligned policies. Export credit agencies’ pre-existing policies lag behind most and need to be significantly improved.
  • The main implementation risks that signatories must avoid are introducing large exemptions for gas support and the lack of concrete strategies to increase transformative clean energy support.
  • Good practices exist: robust policies excluding international public finance for fossil fuels are in place in Denmark and the United Kingdom, as well as at Swedfund, the French Development Agency, Financierings-Maatschappij voor Ontwikkelingslanden, and the European Investment Bank.
  • Case studies on Ethiopia and Sri Lanka show that the Glasgow Statement can play an important role in avoiding fossil fuel lock-in and accelerating a clean and just energy transition in low- and middle-income countries.

The report recommends that high-income signatories that provide international energy finance should aim to develop and publish updated policies for ending international public finance for fossil fuels and advancing a clean and just energy transition by COP 27. These policies should match the existing best-in-class policies, aligning with the 1.5°C goal. In addition, signatories should use the statement as an opportunity to shift the wider international public finance landscape and work together to secure new signatories to join the statement by COP 27, notably by using their voices and votes as MDB shareholders against new financing for fossil fuel projects and ensuring that regional coalitions or associations align with the Glasgow Statement.

Participating experts

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Report

Indonesia’s Energy Support Measures: An inventory of incentives impacting the energy transition

Energy incentives and support measures can help Indonesia influence energy production and consumption in a way that meets its climate and energy targets. As the country has committed to reaching net-zero emissions by 2060, this inventory report of energy support measures in Indonesia explores whether the current fiscal policies are aligned with this goal. The first of its kind, the inventory identifies and quantifies support measures available for various energy types—including coal, oil and gas, renewable energy, biofuels, and electric vehicles—between 2016 and 2020.

June 21, 2022
  • The Indonesian government support for fossil fuels remains substantially higher than for renewable energy, with as much as 94% allocated on average each year to support coal, oil and gas, and fossil fuel-based electricity and just 1% allocated to renewable energy.

  • Energy support measures in Indonesia rose by 38% from IDR 203 trillion in 2016 to IDR 279 trillion in 2020, disproportionately benefiting the fossil fuels sector.

  • Estimated fossil fuel incentives in Indonesia increased by 30% between 2016 and 2020 to at least IDR 246 trillion, while support for renewable energy dropped from IDR 3 trillion in 2016 to IDR 2 trillion in 2020.

The report serves as a starting point for the Government of Indonesia, as well as all stakeholders, concerned citizens, and the wider public to “follow the money”: to track the flow of public funding and to understand how public money is being spent on different types of energy. Through data visualization of the flow and allocation of the support measures throughout the period observed, this report also aims to shed light on government spending on fossil fuels vis-à-vis renewable energy and clean technology.

The Government of Indonesia provides a range of energy support measures, incentives, and interventions that stimulate energy production and consumption, some of which are directed to support and protect the vulnerable segments of the population (e.g., poor households and small businesses). There are also other measures aiming to promote a transition toward clean and renewable energy, although, at present, government support is still predominantly addressed to the fossil fuels sector.

Overall, 77% (60 measures out of 78) of the support measures identified in the report were for the benefit of energy producers. Only 20% of all measures were given to support consumers, and the rest of the measures were provided to benefit both producers and consumers.

Support for fossil fuels and fossil fuel-generated electricity also remains substantially higher than for renewable energy, undermining the effort to achieve 23% of renewable sources in the energy mix by 2025 and net-zero carbon emissions by 2060.

Fossil fuel support drains the public budget, particularly in the current context of high energy prices. Support for fossil fuels is coming at a high cost to Indonesia’s public finances, and it is slowing Indonesia’s energy transition in two ways: 1) it locks in fossil fuel production, leading to ongoing fossil fuel dependence; and 2) by lowering the price of fossil fuels and fossil-sourced electricity, it makes it harder for renewables to compete.

Given its nationally determined contribution to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change as well as its renewable energy targets, it would be reasonable for Indonesia to focus more on creating effective incentive mechanisms to further promote the adoption and development of renewable energy. Shifting or reallocating support from fossil fuels to renewable energy would be a good start.

 

 

Notes:

  1. To select multiple categories, hold the Ctrl key and select the desired category.
  2. The fiscal year for the State Budget of the Government of Indonesia starts in January and ends in December.
  3. Type of support measure*: Based on SDG indicator 12.c.1 (Measuring Fossil Fuel Subsidies in the Context of the Sustainable Development Goals | UNEP - UN Environment Programme)

Report details

Topic
Energy
Just Transition
Sustainable Finance
Region
Indonesia
Project
IISD Global Subsidies Initiative
Impact area
Climate
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2022
Report

How to Make Investments in Land Rehabilitation Economically Viable

Lessons learned from peatland and mangroves in Indonesia, a sustainable asset valuation assessment

This report presents the results of a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment for peatland and mangrove restoration in Indonesia. The SAVi assessment uses system dynamics modelling and financial analysis to analyze restoration options for the Katingan peatlands and Belitung mangroves. The study also quantifies the societal benefits and costs of several policy, land-use, and climate scenarios.

June 16, 2022
  • Our #SAVi assessment shows investing in nature to restore peatlands and mangroves in Indonesia provides a cost-effective way to address climate change and support communities.

  • Ecosystem restoration is an important part of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Both peatlands and mangroves store large amounts of carbon and increase resilience to extreme events.

  • Money matters: To make land rehabilitation lasting and more economically viable, local communities need an additional source of income (like tourism). If not, they may turn to environmentally damaging activities (like plantations and mining) which have less societal benefit than sustainable land management.

Indonesia's commitments to reducing greenhouse gas emissions include efforts to restore 2 million hectares of degraded peatland by 2030 and to restore and better manage mangrove ecosystems. Ecosystem restoration is an important part of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Both peatlands and mangroves store large amounts of carbon and increase resilience to extreme events.

The results of the SAVi assessment presented in this report highlight the social, economic, and environmental value of peatland and mangrove ecosystems. Our results show that sustainable management has high societal value under all simulated climate scenarios. Investing in nature to restore peatlands and mangroves in our study locations provides a cost-effective way to address climate change and support communities. These results provide insight into how similar restoration projects could be done in other locations. They also show that impacts on the local community are critical for success.

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Report

Gender-Responsive National Adaptation Plan (NAP) Processes: Progress and promising examples

The progress shown in this report demonstrates the potential of NAP processes as a mechanism for ensuring that climate action addresses gender and social inequalities.

June 9, 2022
  • 97% of developing countries that have submitted a National Adaptation Plan (NAP) to the UNFCCC are integrating gender considerations into their NAP documents. This demonstrates a growing awareness among national governments that climate action must be gender responsive.

  • Almost one-third of all NAPs (29%) now refer to gender responsiveness, whereas in 2018, none of them did.

  • Approximately 50% of NAPs now recognize that women can act as agents of change in the adaptation planning process. The inclusion of women in NAP processes and the recognition of their lived experiences can strengthen the outcomes of adaptation actions.

This document is the third in a series of synthesis reports that assess progress on gender-responsive approaches in National Adaptation Plan (NAP) processes at the global level. It coincides with the midpoint of the Gender Action Plan under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), making this a good moment to reflect on progress in integrating gender considerations in NAP processes.

We explore this through a systematic review of the NAP documents submitted to the UNFCCC, as well as through practical examples that illustrate how countries are taking a gender-responsive approach to their NAP processes.

As countries increasingly move from planning to implementation of adaptation actions, more opportunities are created to work with diverse stakeholders to build resilience while also creating more equitable communities and societies.

Report details

Topic
Climate Change Adaptation
Gender Equality
Project
NAP Global Network
Impact area
Climate
Engage
International Governance
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2022
Report

20 Years of the Environmental Integrity Group in Global Climate Governance: Lessons and prospects

Through an initial idea, a twist of fate, and skilled diplomacy, the Environmental Integrity Group (EIG) found its way to the climate change negotiations in 2000 and has been an important coalition ever since.

June 13, 2022
  • For 20 years, the Environmental Integrity Group has "punched above its weight" in #climate negotiations. A new report explores EIG's impact and future.

  • The Environmental Integrity Group has prioritized a human rights-based and gender-sensitive approach in @UNFCCC negotiations both before and after the #ParisAgreement.

  • The Environmental Integrity Group (Mexico, Liechtenstein, Monaco, the Republic of Korea, Switzerland, and Georgia) bridges the gap in #climate negotiations between developed and developing countries.

Comprised of Mexico, Liechtenstein, Monaco, the Republic of Korea, Switzerland, and Georgia, the EIG bridges the gap in international climate negotiations between developed and developing countries. Through its shaping of the Kyoto Protocol and the Paris Agreement over two decades, the coalition has shown the effectiveness possible when countries form alliances not based on regional, ideological, or economic identity—but rather on shared values, principles, and approaches.

In “20 Years of the Environmental Integrity Group in Global Climate Governance: Lessons and Prospects,” delegates representing all its member states reflect on the history and purpose of the EIG and its contribution to the making and remaking of global rules for the climate. From telling the story of how the coalition formed, sharing insights on its role in the UNFCCC process, and offering stories of how individual members are separately advancing global climate governance, the book turns to the future and our collective challenge of turning climate ambition into action.

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Report

Lighting the Path: What IPCC energy pathways tell us about Paris-aligned policies and investments

This report outlines key implications for governments and investors aiming to align their policies and investments with the 1.5°C target of the Paris Agreement, based on different energy pathways published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in its Sixth Assessment Report, published in April 2022.

June 7, 2022
  • No new oil and gas fields should be developed, and no exploration conducted in order to limit warming to 1.5°C

  • By 2030, wind and solar deployment needs to be double the forecasted estimates under current policies; additional supportive policies are necessary to enable this growth.

  • There is an urgent need to plug the yearly USD 450 billion investment gap for wind and solar.

This report shows that significant structural changes are required in the energy sector to align with pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C. The pathways consistent with the IPCC’s assessment of feasible and sustainable deployment of Carbon Dioxide Removal and Carbon Capture and Storage technologies leave no room for delayed action. The oil and gas phase-out timelines presented in this report constitute the ambition level consistent with the best estimates of the current and future capacity of mitigation technologies. Accordingly, this report presents the key implications for governments and financial institutions aiming to align their policies and investments with feasible 1.5°C pathways. Its recommendations are designed to guide the understanding of the Paris alignment, consistent with the IPCC findings, and should inform plans to strengthen and amplify policy interventions.

Report details

Topic
Climate Change Mitigation
Energy
Sustainable Finance
Impact area
Climate
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2022
Report

Approaches of International Courts and Tribunals to the Award of Compensation in International Private Property Cases and Implications for the Reform of Investor-State Arbitration

As the amount of compensation being awarded in investment tribunals rises, this report analyzes how it is calculated in other international courts and tribunals to help inform reform processes that seek to address the negative socio-economic impacts of investment treaties.

June 1, 2022

In recent years, investor–state arbitral tribunals have awarded increasingly high amounts of compensation to foreign investors, which can exacerbate the negative impacts of investment treaties on people and the economy in host states. This paper contributes to discussions on how to address this issue by comparing approaches used to award compensation in investment tribunals with those used by some of the most active and/or high-profile international courts and tribunals in international private property claims cases.

From this comparative analysis, the paper identifies the following options for states and other proponents to consider when considering investor–state dispute settlement reform:

  • Crafting new treaty language that requires investor–state arbitral tribunals to apply a different standard of reparation to customary international law or provides greater guidance on how to put such standards of reparation into practice.
  • Requiring investor–state arbitral tribunals to engage more with the decisions of domestic mechanisms regarding reparation for investment treaty breaches.
  • Encouraging parties to seek agreement on matters of reparation, including through negotiated or mediated settlements following arbitral decisions on the merits.
  • Encouraging—or requiring—greater use of tribunal-appointed experts to reduce reliance on party-appointed experts when calculating compensation for investment treaty breaches.

Report details

Topic
Investment Law & Policy
Project
Compensation in International Investment Law
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2022