Climate Risk Profile: Greater Virunga Landscape
This climate risk profile provides an overview of observed and projected climate changes in the Greater Virunga Landscape (GVL) and their impacts on ecosystems, biodiversity, and communities. It also identifies potential nature-based solutions (NbS) to support climate adaptation, alongside measures to promote gender-responsive and socially inclusive adaptation.
Key Findings
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The Greater Virunga Landscape (GVL) is becoming warmer, with more variable and intense rainfall. Mean annual temperatures are projected to rise by 2.7°C by 2040–2060. Heavy rainfall evens are also expected to intensify, increasing the risk of flash floods, mudslides, and erosion.
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Climate change is already affecting ecosystems, water security, and climate-sensitive livelihoods. Drought, floods, and mudslides are damaging crops, water sources, and infrastructure while declining habitat suitability and food and water availability are affecting wildlife.
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Climate change affects people across the GVL unequally: dependence on rain-fed agriculture and natural resources, limited livelihood alternatives, inadequate infrastructure, and unequal access to land and decision-making power increase vulnerability.
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Restoring natural buffers and diversifying livelihoods can strengthen resilience in the GVL. Recommended measures include restoring erosion-prone slopes, riverbanks, and protected area buffer zones, adopting climate-smart agroforestry, and removing invasive species.
This climate risk profile provides an overview of the observed and projected climate changes in the GVL and their impacts on communities, biodiversity, and ecosystems.
It includes recommendations for nature-based solutions for climate adaptation that can be implemented in the landscape, as well as measures to ensure adaptation is gender-responsive and socially inclusive.
The profile is based on a comprehensive climate risk assessment and vulnerability analysis conducted at selected sites in and around Queen Elizabeth National Park, Rwenzori Mountains National Park, and Bwindi Impenetrable National Park.
Participating experts
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