Report

Currency Risk in Project Finance

In developing countries, international financing institutions (IFIs) often help finance key infrastructure projects, predominantly through hard currency loans.

September 11, 2015

In developing countries, international financing institutions (IFIs) often help finance key infrastructure projects, predominantly through hard currency loans.

Without the participation of IFIs, international commercial banks would typically be hesitant to participate in the financing of such projects. However, due to the nature of the international floating exchange rate regime, hard currency loans create currency risk, which in turn results in uncertainty and potential additional liabilities for the receiving countries. To avoid this situation, local currency financing would be preferable but may not always be available.

This paper analyzes the impacts of currency risk on infrastructure projects in developing markets and identifies ways that currency risk can be managed. It then proposes a two-pronged strategy for IFIs to address the issue of currency risk, focusing on improving local capital markets and developing local currency financing solutions. Based on this strategy, the paper then analyzes various financial tools that IFIs can use to stimulate local currency financing in order to help countries meet their development goals while limiting their exposure to currency risk.

This paper was funded by the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA).

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Topic
Public Procurement
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2015
Report

Risk Allocation in Public-Private Partnerships: Maximizing value for money

September 11, 2015

Optimal risk allocation is one of the key value for money (VFM) drivers in a public-private partnership (PPP) delivery model. In a conventional delivery model, most long-term risks are borne by the public agency.

A PPP model, on the other hand, allows the public agency to transfer risks to the private party, relieving it of bearing the cost of risks that it cannot manage—such as cost overruns during the construction phase, construction delays and long-term maintenance of the asset. For the public agency, efficient risk allocation is, therefore, key to creating a “good deal” for society. For the private party, efficient risk allocation is key to ensuring that the project is financeable and has an attractive risk-return ratio. Allocating risks in PPPs, however, is inherently challenging. Risk transfer to the private sector comes at a price, and transferring risks that the public agency is better able to manage is likely to erode VFM. In addition, project risks expected to occur 30 or 40 years into the future cannot be predicted with certainty, because risks are dynamic and change throughout the life of the project. This paper will aim to offer some guiding principles to improve the effectiveness of risk allocation and maximize VFM from a PPP deal.

This paper was funded by the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA).

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Topic
Public Procurement
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2015
Report

Sharing Risk and Revenues from PPPs: Perspectives from current practice in the road sector

September 11, 2015

Accurately forecasting traffic demand is a key component in the planning process for a highway transportation project.

Traffic levels are particularly crucial in tolled highway projects, as they typically represent the main (and often sole) source of revenue for the project. Indeed, achieving a predefined revenue level is required to recover the investment costs and cover the costs of operating and maintaining the facility. This paper will seek to provide recommendations on how to address downside and upside revenue scenarios in PPP contracts. This paper will present two separate but related approaches:

  1. The “revenue risk sharing” approach seeks to protect the concessionaire against lower than expected revenues (the “downside” scenario). The goal in revenue risk sharing is to create an optimal risk allocation between the government and the concessionaire, which in turn generates value for money (VFM).
  2. The “upside revenue sharing” approach seeks to share any “upside” (or higher than expected revenues) between the two parties. The goal of revenue sharing is to avoid excessive returns for the concessionaire.

This paper was funded by the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA).

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Topic
Public Procurement
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2015
Report

Aligning Public and Private Interests in a Public-Private Partnership: Safeguarding the public interest while allowing private returns

September 11, 2015

Involving private parties in infrastructure projects—traditionally seen as “public goods” in economic theory—is not without controversy.

Concerns about investors reaping excessive private returns at the expense of the taxpayer, or about the public agency being forced to renege on policy objectives, continue to prompt governments to be cautious in recommending PPP delivery models. As a result, PPPs represent only a fraction of overall investments in infrastructure, even in mature markets. Although PPPs may not be a panacea to addressing all of the global infrastructure challenges, their ability to harness private sector expertise, innovation and financing can help governments confront complex challenges. A successful PPP should allow the public sector to not only safeguard, but even advance, its public policy objectives, while also allowing the private party to generate its required return. Building a successful partnership between the public and private sectors is inherently challenging; focusing on the right mechanisms, however, can result in a win-win for each party, while also creating the “best deal” for society.

This paper was funded by the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA).

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Topic
Public Procurement
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2015
Report

The Private Financing Component in Public-Private Partnerships

September 11, 2015

Many policy-makers and public-private partnership (PPP) practitioners view access to private financing as the main motivation for developing infrastructure projects through PPP contracts.

Instead of using public money—which may or may not be available— to build a road or power plant, for example, using private money to finance infrastructure projects allows projects to be implemented without delays, possibly freeing up public resources for other projects. Particularly, since the 2008 financial crisis, many governments face serious budget restrictions and/or (self-imposed) public debt constraints, which limit the amount of public resources available for infrastructure development. Under such conditions, leveraging private capital through PPPs to develop much-needed infrastructure can be an attractive alternative.

However, the role of private financing is only half of the story behind PPPs. The other, and arguably more important, half is what we call value for money (VFM). A well-structured PPP has the potential to cost less and bring more value to the public than a conventionally delivered project. To understand how PPP projects generate VFM, we need to understand the value drivers in PPPs.

This paper was funded by the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA).

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Topic
Public Procurement
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2015
Report

Financing for Agriculture: How to boost opportunities in developing countries Policy Brief #3 Investment in Agriculture

This policy brief explores the financial needs of agriculture in developing countries and the instruments available to address these needs.

September 5, 2015

This policy brief explores the financial needs of agriculture in developing countries and the instruments available to address these needs.

We examine the challenges in obtaining financing for agricultural investments, the role of different actors, and the options for governments to enhance the legal and policy environment of the financial system to support agricultural development.

The IISD series of policy briefs on investment in agriculture is generously supported by the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC). 

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Topic
Food and Agriculture
Impact area
Sustainable Economies
Publisher
IISD
Copyright
IISD, 2015
Report

G20 subsidies to oil, gas and coal production: Russia

August 14, 2015

Jointly prepared by IISD, OCI and ODI, this country study and accompanying data sheet compiles publicly available information on fossil fuel production subsidies in Russia in 2013 and 2014.

It is a background paper to the report Empty promises: G20 subsidies to oil, gas and coal production and provides a baseline to track progress on the phase-out of such subsidies as part of a wider global energy transition.

To download the related Russia Excel information click here.

Report details

Topic
Subsidies
Region
Russia
Impact area
Climate
Publisher
ODI
Copyright
ODI, 2015
Report

Migration and Conservation in the Lake Albert Ecosystem (Policy Brief)

Migration is playing a significant role in the deterioration of the Lake Albert ecosystem in Buliisa District, as migrants, mainly coming from neighbouring provinces in the Democratic Republic of Congo, are pulled to the region by the economic opportunities.

August 6, 2015

Migration is playing a significant role in the deterioration of the Lake Albert ecosystem in Buliisa District. Migrants, mainly coming from neighbouring provinces in the Democratic Republic of Congo, are pulled to the region by the economic opportunities presented by the fishery, and are willing to work for wages lower than those demanded by the local population.

Expanding access to new markets, made possible by infrastructure investments linked to oil and gas exploration, have similarly increased demand for fish from buyers as far away as Kampala. These two forces—increasing demand for fish and increasing supply of labour—have resulted in a fishery dangerously close to collapse: larger species of fish are increasingly rare, while the fish caught are of increasingly smaller size across species. While the implications of this for local livelihoods are significant, current political incentives are aligned with maintaining the status quo. The fishery will continue to deteriorate unless effective and sustainable resource management systems are put in place and migration impacts are addressed.

This policy brief summarizes an assessment of the migration context in the Lake Albert ecosystem, as well as suggested response strategies. IISD, the Conservation Development Centre and the Wildlife Conservation Society conducted the research with the generous support of the MacArthur Foundation. The research is part of the Migration and Conservation in the Great Lakes Region project, which attempts to address migration and conservation issues by: (a) developing a methodology to better understand the drivers and impacts of migration on critical natural resources, ecosystems and livelihoods in the Great Lakes region; (b) identifying effective responses for policy-makers and practitioners working on these issues; and (c) catalyzing further research and policy engagement on the topic in the region.

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Report

Migration and Conservation in the Lake Albert Ecosystem

Migration is playing a significant role in the deterioration of the Lake Albert ecosystem in Buliisa District, as migrants, mainly coming from neighbouring provinces in the Democratic Republic of Congo, are pulled to the region by the economic opportunities.

August 12, 2015

Migration is playing a significant role in the deterioration of the Lake Albert ecosystem in Buliisa District. Migrants, mainly coming from neighbouring provinces in the Democratic Republic of Congo, are pulled to the region by the economic opportunities presented by the fishery, and are willing to work for wages lower than those demanded by the local population.

Expanding access to new markets, made possible by infrastructure investments linked to oil and gas exploration, have similarly increased demand for fish from buyers as far away as Kampala. These two forces—increasing demand for fish and increasing supply of labour—have resulted in a fishery dangerously close to collapse: larger species of fish are increasingly rare, while the fish caught are of increasingly smaller size across species. While the implications of this for local livelihoods are significant, current political incentives are aligned with maintaining the status quo. The fishery will continue to deteriorate unless effective and sustainable resource management systems are put in place and migration impacts are addressed.

This report presents an assessment of the migration context in the Lake Albert ecosystem, as well as suggested response strategies. IISD, the Conservation Development Centre and the Wildlife Conservation Society conducted the research with the generous support of the MacArthur Foundation. The research is part of the Migration and Conservation in the Great Lakes Region project, which attempts to address migration and conservation issues by: (a) developing a methodology to better understand the drivers and impacts of migration on critical natural resources, ecosystems and livelihoods in the Great Lakes region; (b) identifying effective responses for policy-makers and practitioners working on these issues; and (c) catalyzing further research and policy engagement on the topic in the region.

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Report

Migration and Conservation in the Bale Mountains Ecosystem (Policy Brief)

Human migration is playing a significant role in driving land conversion and sustaining the overexploitation of key natural resources in the Bale Mountains ecosystem, to the detriment of conservation and traditional livelihoods.

August 12, 2015

Human migration is playing a significant role in driving land conversion and sustaining the overexploitation of key natural resources in the Bale Mountains ecosystem, to the detriment of conservation and traditional livelihoods.

A similar process of land conversion is taking place in the absence of an influx of migrants, albeit at a much slower pace, and the ecosystem is under threat from a variety of factors, including population growth, changing climate conditions, and shifting livelihood strategies and socioeconomic expectations of the resident population. But in a context of rapid socioeconomic change and escalating internal population pressures, migration accelerates and intensifies the livelihood changes and associated land conversion processes that are inevitable in the long term. This will continue, unless effective and sustainable resource management systems are put in place.

This policy brief summarizes an assessment of the migration context in the Bale Mountains ecosystem, as well as suggested response strategies. IISD, the Conservation Development Centre and the Frankfurt Zoological Society conducted the research with the generous support of the MacArthur Foundation. The research is part of the Migration and Conservation in the Great Lakes Region project, which attempts to address migration and conservation issues by: (a) developing a methodology to better understand the drivers and impacts of migration on critical natural resources, ecosystems and livelihoods in the Great Lakes region; (b) identifying effective responses for policy-makers and practitioners working on these issues; and (c) catalyzing further research and policy engagement on the topic in the region.

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