The Production Gap Report 2025
The Production Gap Report 2025 finds that 10 years after the Paris Agreement, governments plan to produce more than double the volume of fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C, steering the world further from the Paris goals than the last assessment in 2023.
This is the fifth edition of The Production Gap report, which was first issued in 2019. It tracks the misalignment between governments' planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C or 2°C. The report, which is externally peer reviewed, represents a collaboration of several research and academic institutions, including inputs and reviews from more than 50 experts spanning all parts of the globe. This year's publication updates the analysis presented in the 2023 edition, profiling the plans and projections of 20 major fossil fuel-producing countries, representing a mix of the world's largest producers, large producers with readily available data, and producers with strongly stated climate ambitions.
You might also be interested in
Solar Can Outcompete Grid Power in Rural India With the Right Planning
New research finds solar-based distributed renewable energy systems can generate electricity in rural India at a lower cost than conventional grid supply. Careful planning of local demand, storage, grid conditions, financing, and long-term operations is key to unlock these savings.
Bonn Climate Talks 2026: What to expect after Santa Marta
With UN climate talks starting in Bonn soon, the shift to implementation is being felt, especially in the transition away from fossil fuels.
The Strait of Hormuz Crisis Emphasizes Why Canada Should Move Away From Oil and Gas—Not Expand It
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz cut off roughly 25% of the world’s seaborne oil and 20% of LNG trade. In response, many countries are diversifying supply chains and increasingly ramping up domestic renewable capacity to improve energy security. Meanwhile, the Government of Canada has taken steps to expand oil and gas production.
Managing Energy Price Crises
This report outlines a strategic decision framework policy-makers can use when responding to fossil fuel price shocks.