Production Gap Report 2025

On September 22, join us for the online launch of the 2025 Production Gap Report, which explores how governments’ plans and projections for fossil fuel production contrast with the level needed to keep the Paris Agreement’s global warming goals within sight.

Former Irish President and special guest Mary Robinson will provide welcome remarks.

The Production Gap Report tracks the misalignment between governments’ planned and projected production of coal, oil, and gas and the global production levels consistent with the Paris Agreement’s temperature goal.

The report’s fifth edition arrives about 10 years after the Paris Agreement’s ratification, and right as governments submit their third round of climate pledges toward fulfilling the Paris Agreement’s goals. This edition compiles the latest fossil fuel production plans from the world’s governments since the last Production Gap Report in 2023. It provides new analysis on how these plans align with internationally agreed efforts to transition away from fossil fuels in energy systems and achieve net zero by 2050.

The report also features individual country profiles for 20 major fossil-fuel-producing countries which make up more than 80% of global fossil fuel production: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Colombia, Germany, India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Mexico, Nigeria, Norway, Qatar, the Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, the United Arab Emirates, the United States, and the United Kingdom.

Learn about all this and more in a special event highlighting this year’s key findings with the lead authors and global climate experts. A Q&A follows.

This report is produced by the Stockholm Environment Institute, Climate Analytics, and the International Institute for Sustainable Development.

Agenda

Introduction

Welcome Remarks

President Mary Robinson

Presentation of Findings

Derik Broekhoff, Senior Scientist, SEI

Emily Ghosh, Equitable Transitions Program Director, SEI

Introduction of the Panel

Neil Grant, Senior Climate and Energy Analyst, Climate Analytics
Olivier Bois von Kursk, Policy Advisor, IISD
Derik Broekhoff, Senior Scientist, SEI
Emily Ghosh, Equitable Transitions Program Director, SEI

Q&A