Foresight and Scenarios
Whether exploring what the future might look like, creating a shared vision for the future or adapting to change, IISD’s adaptive scenario analysis and planning (ASAP) processes can help your group collaborate with stakeholders to identify robust policies and programs and explore pathways for a sustainable future.
The IISD Foresight Group has developed and applied a suite of ASAPs to meet a range of planning needs: (i) ASAP for Stress Testing for adapting to external stressors (i.e., climate change, economic shocks, etc.); (ii) ASAP for Alternative Futures for exploring what the future might look like; and (iii) ASAP for Visioning for creating a shared vision of the future.
Complex issues demand that multiple perspectives be brought together to collaborate on strategies and actions to achieve sustainability and resilience. Our suite of ASAPs are all highly deliberative and analytical processes, convening decision makers, local stakeholders, experts and computer modellers to better understand drivers of change and future trends, and to explore alternative pathways to a sustainable and resilient future.
To learn more about the ASAP suite of participatory scenario planning processes, contact the IISD Foresight Group.
Recent Progress in Applying Participatory Scenario Development in Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Countries Part II
Climate change adaptation strategies need to be multifaceted—in particular, they require stronger linkages with socioeconomic priorities.This paper...Read More
Participatory Scenario Development and Future Visioning in Adaptation Planning: Lessons from experience Part I
In this paper, we introduce and present major lessons learned from the application of participatory scenario-based tools.We illustrate how such...Read More
Building Capacities to Improve Mainstreaming of Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) Into Development Strategies and Policies in the Caribbean Region
In recent years, governments have begun negotiating multilateral environmental agreements (MEAs) in an attempt to tackle a growing array of...Read More