Foresight and Scenarios
Whether exploring what the future might look like, creating a shared vision for the future or adapting to change, IISD’s adaptive scenario analysis and planning (ASAP) processes can help your group collaborate with stakeholders to identify robust policies and programs and explore pathways for a sustainable future.
The IISD Foresight Group has developed and applied a suite of ASAPs to meet a range of planning needs: (i) ASAP for Stress Testing for adapting to external stressors (i.e., climate change, economic shocks, etc.); (ii) ASAP for Alternative Futures for exploring what the future might look like; and (iii) ASAP for Visioning for creating a shared vision of the future.
Complex issues demand that multiple perspectives be brought together to collaborate on strategies and actions to achieve sustainability and resilience. Our suite of ASAPs are all highly deliberative and analytical processes, convening decision makers, local stakeholders, experts and computer modellers to better understand drivers of change and future trends, and to explore alternative pathways to a sustainable and resilient future.
To learn more about the ASAP suite of participatory scenario planning processes, contact the IISD Foresight Group.
- Briefing Note
Private Investments and Agriculture: The importance of integrating sustainability into planning and implementation
Recently, we have seen an increase in large-scale investment into agriculture. An important policy question is to what extent these large-scale agricultural investment contribute to improving local livelihoods, as well as economic and environmental conditions.Read More
Recent Progress in Applying Participatory Scenario Development in Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Countries Part II
Climate change adaptation strategies need to be multifaceted—in particular, they require stronger linkages with socioeconomic priorities.This paper...Read More
Participatory Scenario Development and Future Visioning in Adaptation Planning: Lessons from experience Part I
In this paper, we introduce and present major lessons learned from the application of participatory scenario-based tools.We illustrate how such...Read More
Building Capacities to Improve Mainstreaming of Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) Into Development Strategies and Policies in the Caribbean Region
In recent years, governments have begun negotiating multilateral environmental agreements (MEAs) in an attempt to tackle a growing array of...Read More
UNEP Global Environment Outlook, Chapter 16: Scenarios and Sustainability Transformation
This chapter, entitled "Scenarios and Suitability Transformation," is part of the United Nations Environment Programme's (UNEP's) Global...Read More
Capacity Assessment and Awareness Raising on Climate Change in Tajikistan
The present Participatory Scenario Development (PSD) report was commissioned as one of the outputs of Phase I of the Pilot Programme for Climate...Read More
Scenarios and Sticking Points under the Durban Platform: The long and winding road to 2020
Given the outcomes of COP 17 in Durban, South Africa, and subsequent negotiating sessions in Bonn and Bangkok in 2012, achieving "success" under...Read More
Measuring the Performance and Impact of Community Indicators Systems: Insights on frameworks and examples of key performance indicators
Community indicator systems (CISs) are growing in number across North America, Europe, and Australia in an effort to improve evidence-based...Read More
Understanding the Role of the Boreal Environment in Supporting the Well-Being of Remote First Nations Communities in Canada
IISD collaborated with two remote First Nations Communities in Manitoba to advance an assessment framework for better understanding the role of the...Read More
Training Module - Achieving National and Sectoral Development Priorities: The use of integrated environmental assessment tools for improved MEA implementation
This training module presents integrated environmental assessment (IEA) tools that can generate win-win scenarios for achieving national...Read More